Captain Ishaan has a ship, the H. M.S Crimson Lynx. The ship is four furlongs from the dread pirate Michael and his merciless band of thieves. If his ship hasn't already been hit, Captain Ishaan has probability of hitting the pirate ship. If his ship has been hit, Captain Ishaan will always miss. If his ship hasn't already been hit, dread pirate Michael has probability of hitting the Captain's ship. If his ship has been hit, dread pirate Michael will always miss. If the Captain and the pirate each shoot once, and the Captain shoots first, what is the probability that the Captain misses the pirate ship, but the pirate hits?