Judgment methods may be the only practical way to make a forecast when a. there is a great deal of historical product data. b. there is no historical data due to a new product introduction. c. quantitative models have been performing particularly well in recent periods. d. the forecast made in the previous period had a mape of less than 10%.

Bob: coke is baby pandas.jim: what? how do you figure that coke is baby pandas? bob: because this book says so.jim: how do we know the book is correct? bob: because it says that coke is baby pandas.jim: how does that prove the book's accuracy? bob: because it's statement involving coke and baby pandas is correct, therefore it is accurate.jim: how do we know that it's correct? bob: because we have concluded that the book is accurate, and therefore the statement is correct.therefore, coke is baby pandas.

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