A prospector thinks there is an even (50-50) chance that his property contains oil. Any property suspected to have oil can go through two independent tests. The first test is 80% reliable; if there is oil on the property, it reports positive 80% of the time, and it reports negative 80% of the time whenener there is no oil. For the second test, it reports positive 75% of the time when there is oil, as well as reporting positive 50% of the time when there is no oil. Required:
What is the probability the property has oil, given that both tests report positive?

Intersecting secant-tangent theorem states that if a tangent segment and a secant segment are drawn to a circle from an exterior point, then the square of the measure of the tangent segment is equal to the product of the measures of the secant segment and its external secant segment.so to break it down: 1. pq acts as the tangent and ps as the secant with an intersection at p.sr = 21rp = 3x + 3pq = 4x + 4following to equation: tangent squared = the two segments multiplied by each otherso (4x + 4) ^ 2 = (3x + 3) • (21) simplifies to 16x^2 - 31x - 47 = 0 or (16x - 47)(x + 1) x = -1 or x = 47/162. pq acts as the tangent and ps as the secant with an intersection at p (again! )sr = 16rp = xpq = 15(15) ^ 2 = 16 • x225 = 16xx = 225/163. the interesting chords are proportional to each other so a ratio is possible to set up: ap dp 10 3 + x = = —— = pc pb 8 xcross multiple to get 10x = (3 + x)(8)x = 12

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