Children arrive at a house to do Halloween trick-or- treating according to a Poisson process at the unlucky rate of 13/hour. What is the probability that the time between the 15th and 16th arrivals will be more than 4 minutes ? (Hint: Think exponential.) a) e e-2 = 0.1353
b) e-13/15 = 0.4204
c) e-1 = 0.3679
d) 1-2-1 = 0.6321

0.4204 probability, option b.

Step-by-step explanation:

Exponential distribution:

The exponential probability distribution, with mean m, is described by the following equation:

In which is the decay parameter.

The probability that x is lower or equal to a is given by:

Which has the following solution:

The probability of finding a value higher than x is:

Children arrive at a house to do Halloween trick-or- treating according to a Poisson process at the unlucky rate of 13/hour

13 arrivals during an hour, which means that the mean time between arrivals, in minutes is of

What is the probability that the time between the 15th and 16th arrivals will be more than 4 minutes ?

This is P(X > 4). So

So the correct answer is given by option b.