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Mathematics, 07.09.2019 22:10 kirathadoll

Atoken t consists of 2 colors (one on each side): t = {red, blue}. consider a task environment where we have jar of three biased tokens t1, t2 and t3 with probabilities of flipping a red is 20%, 60% and 80% respectively. one token is selected at random from the jar (with equal likelihood of drawing each of the three tokens), and then the selected token is flipped three times to generate the outcomes x1, x2, and x3. a. draw the bayesian network corresponding to this setup and define the necessary cpt’s. b. calculate which token was most likely to have been drawn from the bag if the observed flips come out red twice and blue once.

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