Assume the carrying capacity of the earth is 13 billion. Use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of 2.1% and population of 3 billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of 6.8 billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about 1.2% per year?

The predicted growth rate is compared at  -2%

Explanation:

To calculate growth rate, G.R = X()

In the 1960s,

The carrying capacity of the earth = 13 billion

Earth's population = 3 billion

X =

X =

X = 0.021 × 0.77

X = 0.01617 = 1.6%

Current population calculation:

Growth Current population (C.p) =

Growth Current population (C.p) = 0.016

Growth Current population (C.p) = 0.016(-1.267)

Growth rate = -0.020272 = -2%

The predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about 1.2​% per​ year at -2%.

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