On July 1, based on prior experience, Rocky estimated there is a 40% chance it will earn the bonus for July tours. It guided a total of 10 days from July 1–July 15. On July 16, based on Rocky’s view that it had provided excellent service during the first part of the month, Rocky revised its estimate to an 90% chance it would earn the bonus for July tours. Rocky also guided customers for 15 days from July 16–July 31. On August 5 Rocky learned it did not receive an average evaluation of "excellent" for its July tours, so it would not receive any bonus for July, and received all payment due for the July tours.

The east asiatic company (eac), a danish company with subsidiaries throughout asia, has been funding its bangkok subsidiary primarily with u.s. dollar debt because of the cost and availability of dollar capital as opposed to thai baht-denominated (b) debt. the treasurer of eac-thailand is considering a 1-year bank loan for $247,000.the current spot rate is b32.03 /$, and the dollar-based interest is 6.78% for the 1-year period. 1-year loans are 12.04% in baht.a. assuming expected inflation rates of 4.3 % and 1.24% in thailand and the united states, respectively, for the coming year, according to purchase power parity, what would the effective cost of funds be in thai baht terms? b. if eac's foreign exchange advisers believe strongly that the thai government wants to push the value of the baht down against the dollar by5% over the coming year (to promote its export competitiveness in dollar markets), what might the effective cost of funds end up being in baht terms? c. if eac could borrow thai baht at 13% per annum, would this be cheaper than either part (a) or part (b) above?