It is important to question the reliability of forecasts because
- uncertainty is black and white, and therefore the gray areas are unimportant.
- if predictions are too low, a company like motel 6 might build too many units and thus have a surplus of capacity.
- the growth new industries, such as that of telecommunications, cannot be predicted.
- underestimating uncertainty can lead to good competitive strategies.

1. all other things equal, according to the law of demand, when the price of a good falls, the demand for the good falls the demand for the good rises the quantity demanded of the good falls the quantity demanded of the good rises 2. when a market is in equilibrium, the quantity of the good that buyers are willing and able to buy exactly equals the quantity that sellers are willing and able to sell cannot be determined is less than the quantity that sellers are willing and able to sell is greater than the quantity that sellers are willing and able to sell 3. which of the following factors does not influence the demand for a good or service? consumer (buyer) income the price of related goods the number of sellers buyer expectations 4. when the number of sellers in a market increases, demand rises supply rises the price rises, all else equal the number of buyers falls

This exercise illustrates that poor quality can affect schedules and costs. a manufacturing process has 130 customer orders to fill. each order requires one component part that is purchased from a supplier. however, typically, 3% of the components are identified as defective, and the components can be assumed to be independent. (a) if the manufacturer stocks 130 components, what is the probability that the 130 orders can be filled without reordering components? (b) if the manufacturer stocks 132 components, what is the probability that the 130 orders can be filled without reordering components? (c) if the manufacturer stocks 135 components, what is the probability that the 130 orders can be filled without reordering components?

You own 2,200 shares of deltona hardware. the company has stated that it plans on issuing a dividend of $0.42 a share at the end of this year and then issuing a final liquidating dividend of $2.90 a share at the end of next year. your required rate of return on this security is 16 percent. ignoring taxes, what is the value of one share of this stock to you today?